Debt default, financial risk transmission and governance from the perspective of supply chain network

The stock risk spillovers of 31 associated enterprises of Evergrande supply chain in China were measured with DCC-GARCH and CoVaR model, and high, moderate and low risk overflow networks in four periods were constructed, finally the overall metrics and dynamic evolution of risk spillover network were explored. The results showed that: With COVID-19 under control in China, the risk spillover of Evergrande supply chain associated enterprises continues to diverge, with the quantity and scope of high risk declining and moderate and low risk rising;The infection scope of high risk spillover has narrowed, from indirect to direct infection;Evergrande subsidiaries play obvious bridge roles in moderate and low risk networks, have strong control over the risk spread;Commercial banks suffer and trigger more risk spillovers, a number of risk spillover groups with commercial banks as cores formed in high and moderate risk networks.

Debt default, financial risk transmission and governance from the perspective of supply chain network.

The stock risk spillovers of 31 associated enterprises of Evergrande supply chain in China were measured with DCC-GARCH and CoVaR model, and high, moderate and low risk overflow networks in four periods were constructed, finally the overall metrics and dynamic evolution of risk spillover network were explored. The results showed that: With COVID-19 under control in China, the risk spillover of Evergrande supply chain associated enterprises continues to diverge, with the quantity and scope of high risk declining and moderate and low risk rising; The infection scope of high risk spillover has narrowed, from indirect to direct infection; Evergrande subsidiaries play obvious bridge roles in moderate and low risk networks, have strong control over the risk spread; Commercial banks suffer and trigger more risk spillovers, a number of risk spillover groups with commercial banks as cores formed in high and moderate risk networks.

Pam2CSK4-adjuvanted SARS-CoV-2 RBD nanoparticle vaccine induces robust humoral and cellular immune responses.

As the global COVID-19 pandemic continues and new SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern emerge, vaccines remain an important tool for preventing the pandemic. The inactivated or subunit vaccines themselves generally exhibit low immunogenicity, which needs adjuvants to improve the immune response. We previously developed a receptor binding domain (RBD)-targeted and self-assembled nanoparticle to elicit a potent immune response in both mice and rhesus macaques. Herein, we further improved the RBD production in the eukaryote system by in situ Crispr/Cas9-engineered CHO cells. By comparing the immune effects of various Toll-like receptor-targeted adjuvants to enhance nanoparticle vaccine immunization, we found that Pam2CSK4, a TLR2/6 agonist, could mostly increase the titers of antigen-specific neutralizing antibodies and durability in humoral immunity. Remarkably, together with Pam2CSK4, the RBD-based nanoparticle vaccine induced a significant Th1-biased immune response and enhanced the differentiation of both memory T cells and follicular helper T cells. We further found that Pam2CSK4 upregulated migration genes and many genes involved in the activation and proliferation of leukocytes. Our data indicate that Pam2CSK4 targeting TLR2, which has been shown to be effective in tuberculosis vaccines, is the optimal adjuvant for the SARS-CoV-2 nanoparticle vaccine, paving the way for an immediate clinical trial.

Potential Multifunctional Bioactive Compounds from Dysosma versipellis Explored by Bioaffinity Ultrafiltration-HPLC/MS with Topo I, Topo II, COX-2 and ACE2.

Background: Dysosma versipellis (D. versipellis) has been traditionally used as a folk medicine for ages. However, the specific phytochemicals responsible for their correlated anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative and antiviral activities remain unknown. Purpose: This study aimed to explore the specific active components in D. versipellis responsible for its potential anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative, and antiviral effects, and further elucidate the corresponding mechanisms of action. Methods: Bioaffinity ultrafiltration coupled to liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (UF-LC/MS) was firstly hired to fast screen for the anti-inflammatory, anti-proliferative and antiviral compounds from rhizomes of D. versipellis, and then further validation was conducted using in vitro inhibition assays and molecular docking. Results: A total of 12, 12, 9 and 12 phytochemicals with considerable affinities to Topo I, Topo II, COX-2 and ACE2 were fished out, respectively. The anti-proliferative assay in vitro indicated that podophyllotoxin and quercetin exhibited comparably strong inhibitory rates on A549 and HT-29 cells compared with 5-FU and etoposide. Meanwhile, kaempferol displayed prominent dose-dependent inhibition against COX-2 with IC50 value at 0.36 ± 0.02 µM lower than indomethacin at 0.73 ± 0.07 µM. Furthermore, quercetin exerted stronger inhibitory effect against ACE2 with IC50 value at 104.79 ± 8.26 µM comparable to quercetin 3-O-glucoside at 135.25 ± 6.54 µM. Conclusion: We firstly showcased an experimental investigation on the correlations between bioactive phytochemicals of D. versipellis and their multiple drug targets reflecting its potential pharmacological activities, and further constructed a multi-target and multi-component network to decipher its empirical traditional applications. It could not only offer a reliable and valuable experimental basis to better comprehend the curative effects of D. versipellis but also provide more new insights and strategies for other traditional medicinal plants.

Comparison of viral propagation and drug response among SARS-CoV-2 VOCs using replicons capable of recapitulating virion assembly and release.

Several variants of concern (VOCs) have emerged since the WIV04 strain of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first isolated in January 2020. Due to mutations in the spike (S) protein, these VOCs have evolved to enhance viral infectivity and immune evasion. However, whether mutations of the other viral proteins lead to altered viral propagation and drug resistance remains obscure. The replicon is a noninfectious viral surrogate capable of recapitulating certain steps of the viral life cycle. Although several SARS-CoV-2 replicons have been developed, none of them were derived from emerging VOCs and could only recapitulate viral genome replication and subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) transcription. In this study, SARS-CoV-2 replicons derived from the WIV04 strain and two VOCs (the Beta and Delta variants) were prepared by removing the S gene from their genomes, while other structural genes remained untouched. These replicons not only recapitulate viral genome replication and sgRNA transcription but also support the assembly and release of viral-like particles, as manifested by electron microscopic assays. Thus, the S-deletion replicon could recapitulate virtually all the post-entry steps of the viral life cycle and provides a versatile tool for measuring viral intracellular propagation and screening novel antiviral drugs, including inhibitors of virion assembly and release. Through the quantification of replicon RNA released into the supernatant, we demonstrate that viral intracellular propagation and drug response to remdesivir have not yet substantially changed during the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 from the WIV04 strain to the Beta and Delta VOCs.

A bivalent nanoparticle vaccine exhibits potent cross-protection against the variants of SARS-CoV-2.

Inoculation against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is ongoing worldwide. However, the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants could cause immune evasion. We developed a bivalent nanoparticle vaccine that displays the receptor binding domains (RBDs) of the D614G and B.1.351 strains. With a prime-boost or a single-dose strategy, this vaccine elicits a robust neutralizing antibody and full protection against infection with the authentic D614G or B.1.351 strain in human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 transgene mice. Interestingly, 8 months after inoculation with the D614G-specific vaccine, a new boost with this bivalent vaccine potently elicits cross-neutralizing antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 variants in rhesus macaques. We suggest that the D614G/B.1.351 bivalent vaccine could be used as an initial single dose or a sequential enforcement dose to prevent infection with SARS-CoV-2 and its variants.

SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding characteristics and potential evidence for the priority for faecal specimen testing in diagnosis

This study aimed to identify the specimen type that has high positivity and its proper sampling time for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) testing to promote diagnostic efficiency. All SARS-CoV-2-infected patients with a laboratory-confirmed diagnosis in Zhoushan City were followed up for viral shedding in respiratory tract specimens and faecal samples. Positivity was analysed both qualitatively and quantitatively by proper statistical approaches with strong testing power. Viral shedding in respiratory tract and faecal specimens was prolonged to 45 and 40 days after the last exposure, respectively. The overall positive rate in respiratory tract specimens was low and relatively unstable, being higher in the early-to-mid stage than in the mid-to-late stage of the disease course. Compared with respiratory tract specimens, faecal samples had a higher viral load, higher overall positive rate, and more stable positivity in different disease courses and varied symptomatic status. Faecal specimens have the potential ability to surpass respiratory tract specimens in virus detection. Testing of faecal specimens in diagnosis, especially for identifying asymptomatic carriers, is recommended. Simultaneously, testing respiratory tract specimens at the early-to-mid stage is better than testing at the mid-to-late stage of the disease course. A relatively small sample size was noted, and statistical approaches were used to address it. Information was missing for both specimen types at different stages of the disease course due to censored data. Our research extends the observed viral shedding in both specimen types and highlights the importance of faecal specimen testing in SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis. Healthcare workers, patients, and the general public may all benefit from our study findings. Disposal of sewage from hospitals and residential areas should be performed cautiously because the virus sheds in faeces and can last for a long time.

Estimation of the potential spread risk of COVID-19: Occurrence assessment along the Yangtze, Han, and Fu River basins in Hubei, China.

Given that the novel coronavirus was detected in stool and urine from diagnosed patients, the potential risk of its transmission through the water environment might not be ignored. In the current study, to investigate the spread possibility of COVID-19 via the environmental media, three typical rivers (Yangtze, Han, and Fu River) and watershed cities in Hubei province of China were selected, and a more comprehensive risk assessment analysis method was built with a risk index proposed. Results showed that the risk index in the Yangtze River Basin is about 10-12, compared to 10-10 and 10-8 in the Han and Fu River Basins, and the risk index is gradually reduced from Wuhan city to the surrounding cities. The safety radius and safety time period for the Yangtze, Han, and Fu River are 8 km/14 h, 20 km/30 h and 36 km/36 h, respectively. The linear relationship between the risk potential calculated by the QMRA model and the multiple linear regression proved that the built index model is statistically significant. By comparing the theoretical removal rates for the novel coronavirus, our study proposed an effective method to estimate the potential spread risk of COVID-19 in the typical river basins.

Transmission of COVID-19 in the terminal stages of the incubation period: A familial cluster.

We report a familial cluster of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) to assess its potential transmission during the incubation period. The first patient in this familial cluster was identified during the presymptomatic period, as a close contact of a confirmed patient. Five family members had close contact with this first patient during his incubation period, with four of them confirmed positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in the subsequent sampling tests.

Case fatality risk of the first pandemic wave of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China

OBJECTIVE: To assess the case fatality risk (CFR) of COVID-19 in mainland China, stratified by region and clinical category, and estimate key time-to-event intervals. METHODS: We collected individual information and aggregated data on COVID-19 cases from publicly available official sources from December 29, 2019 to April 17, 2020. We accounted for right-censoring to estimate the CFR and explored the risk factors for mortality. We fitted Weibull, gamma, and lognormal distributions to time-to-event data using maximum-likelihood estimation. RESULTS: We analyzed 82,719 laboratory-confirmed cases reported in mainland China, including 4,632 deaths, and 77,029 discharges. The estimated CFR was 5.65% (95%CI: 5.50%-5.81%) nationally, with highest estimate in Wuhan (7.71%), and lowest in provinces outside Hubei (0.86%). The fatality risk among critical patients was 3.6 times that of all patients, and 0.8-10.3 fold higher than that of mild-to-severe patients. Older age (OR 1.14 per year;95%CI: 1.11-1.16), and being male (OR 1.83;95%CI: 1.10-3.04) were risk factors for mortality. The time from symptom onset to first healthcare consultation, time from symptom onset to laboratory confirmation, and time from symptom onset to hospitalization were consistently longer for deceased patients than for those who recovered. CONCLUSIONS: Our CFR estimates based on laboratory-confirmed cases ascertained in mainland China suggest that COVID-19 is more severe than the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in hospitalized patients, particularly in Wuhan. Our study provides a comprehensive picture of the severity of the first wave of the pandemic in China. Our estimates can help inform models and the global response to COVID-19.

Potential Presymptomatic Transmission of SARS-CoV-2, Zhejiang Province, China, 2020.

We report a 2-family cluster of persons infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in the city of Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, China, during January 2020. The infections resulted from contact with an infected but potentially presymptomatic traveler from the city of Wuhan in Hubei Province.